From this weekend’s Conference Championship games, we’ll recap all 4th down decisions that had at least 2% (pre-snap) win probability at stake. As a reminder, our analyses always consider two critical factors: 1) how the teams match up (i.e. our analytics are customized for the strengths and weaknesses of two …
Conference Championships BEST & WORST Decisions (2020) Read More »
The Divisional Round where #HenneThingIsPossible. Best Decision – KC vs CLE Sunday’s AFC Divisional Round playoff game is an instant classic! With 1:14 remaining in the 4th quarter (KC had 2 timeouts and CLE had 0 timeouts) and leading the Browns by 5 points, the Chiefs faced a 4th and …
As the concept of Analytics with the capital A spread inexorably from the NFL to college and then to high school, the understanding of what analytics can deliver and the potential for real-time analytical impact has blossomed. EdjSports has led the way, even coining familiar terms within the sports analytics …
EdjVarsity: The Platform That Mainstreamed Advanced Analytics Read More »
A wild Super Wildcard Weekend. Best Decision – PIT vs CLE With 3:01 remaining in the 3rd quarter and trailing the Browns by 19 points, the Steelers faced a 4th & Goal at the CLE 5-yard line. Coach Tomlin made the correct call by deciding to go for it. The …
Wild Card Weekend BEST and WORST Decisions (2020) Read More »
With the NFL playoff teams now set, let’s take a look at how each team performed during the Regular Season. For the purposes of this comparison, we’ll use win probability (net gains/losses) through Week 16, to evaluate each team’s execution on 1st, 2nd, and 3rd downs (i.e. measure effectiveness). Notes: …
This week we’ll take a look at the MIA @ LV game. A match up with playoff implications for both teams. A wild final 3 minutes With 3:08 remaining in the 4th quarter the Dolphins scored a TD on a 59-yard catch and run by (RB) M. Gaskin, to take …
This week we’ll take a look at two games (KC vs NO and LV vs LAC) and how these teams executed on “high potential scoring drives”. For the purposes of this analysis, we’ll define high potential scoring drives as those where any play in a series takes place at (or …
This week we’ll take a look at two games with playoffs implications (MIN @ TB and IND @ LV) and focus on the impact of 3rd down decisions and player execution, during the first 3 quarters of the game. For the purposes this analysis, we’ll classify all 3rd down play …
For this week’s analysis of decisions, put your coaching headset on as we take a look at the 4th quarter of the IND vs HOU game. 4th down, FG attempt or GO? With 11:07 remaining in the 4th quarter and leading by 4 points (both teams had all their timeouts), …
What an incredible game down in Alabama. If there were ever a year for an ending like this it would be in 2020. A year full of unprecedented events, just added another one to the ever growing list. Thompson defeated Auburn High School to defend their state title by a …
The Improbable Comeback: Thompson v. Auburn Alabama 7A State Championship Read More »